Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.493828 0.574866 0.664627 0.771368 0.894804 1.033022 1.199517
2025-02-23 0.357362 0.464781 0.596988 0.771437 0.995385 1.273061 1.643434
2025-03-02 0.281087 0.395747 0.547883 0.764031 1.062800 1.460826 2.031126
2025-03-09 0.232884 0.349839 0.514835 0.763788 1.129164 1.645010 2.428047
2025-03-16 0.190602 0.303041 0.470391 0.736497 1.147941 1.758798 2.733557
2025-03-23 0.175972 0.294094 0.478367 0.785162 1.281627 2.051765 3.335310
2025-03-30 0.149646 0.262063 0.445321 0.763804 1.301529 2.170389 3.678114
2025-04-06 0.127577 0.233380 0.413072 0.738083 1.308895 2.266746 3.992174
2025-04-13 0.109817 0.209311 0.384919 0.714671 1.315584 2.360202 4.308701
2025-04-20 0.099381 0.196808 0.375044 0.721596 1.375130 2.549011 4.810424
2025-04-27 0.094472 0.193887 0.381938 0.759624 1.494904 2.856324 5.558620
2025-05-04 0.088023 0.186987 0.380309 0.780898 1.584998 3.117864 6.248966
2025-05-11 0.080660 0.177471 0.372888 0.790877 1.656370 3.355718 6.929118
2025-05-18 0.073056 0.166403 0.361008 0.790464 1.707242 3.560176 7.568922
2025-05-25 0.065762 0.154911 0.346675 0.782857 1.741875 3.735158 8.167508
2025-06-01 0.059976 0.145928 0.336459 0.782607 1.791677 3.945900 8.863475
2025-06-08 0.052797 0.132661 0.315062 0.754658 1.777156 4.018631 9.269802
2025-06-15 0.051842 0.134102 0.327107 0.804495 1.943252 4.499723 10.629968
2025-06-22 0.046295 0.123436 0.309584 0.782623 1.940969 4.606480 11.154463
2025-06-29 0.041133 0.112985 0.291213 0.756283 1.924708 4.679166 11.607211
2025-07-06 0.036694 0.103767 0.274673 0.732307 1.911136 4.756197 12.078117
2025-07-13 0.034297 0.099684 0.270567 0.739399 1.975769 5.026265 13.047590
2025-07-20 0.033583 0.100154 0.278308 0.778343 2.126284 5.521320 14.629719